CD Guadalajara 3-1 Atlético Paso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.4pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 32%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.98/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/0.80
-17% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Atlético Paso
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
05.03.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 1-1 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
16.10.2022 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
3-1
AWAY Atlético Paso
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Atlético Paso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara beat Atlético Paso 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day CD Guadalajara made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 52% of the ball to Atlético Paso's 48%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atlético Paso led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for CD Guadalajara and 1.33 for Atlético Paso.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Atlético Paso?

CD Guadalajara 3-1 Atlético Paso in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Atlético Paso?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 39%, draw 32%, Atlético Paso 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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