Velez 0-3 Cadiz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz II EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+44% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Cadiz II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Cadiz II Cadiz II 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Velez İS4
12.03.2023 Velez Velez 4-1 HT 2-0 Cadiz II Cadiz II İS4
22.10.2022 Cadiz II Cadiz II 2-0 HT 2-0 Velez Velez İS4
20.03.2022 Velez Velez 0-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz II Cadiz II İS4
30.10.2021 Cadiz II Cadiz II 0-2 HT 0-0 Velez Velez İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez
0-3
AWAY Cadiz II
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Velez vs Cadiz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz II ran out comfortable winners over Velez 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cadiz II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Velez had 44% of the ball to Cadiz II's 56%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Velez had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Velez and 0.60 for Cadiz II.

What was the final score of Velez vs Cadiz II?

Velez 0-3 Cadiz II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez vs Cadiz II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cadiz II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Velez 29%, draw 25%, Cadiz II 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cadiz II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cadiz II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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