La Union Atletico 1-0 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
26%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
36%
Draw
33%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 38%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.19/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.06
+15% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Union Atletico
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marbella
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 15
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Marbella Marbella 1-0 HT 0-0 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Union Atletico
1-0
AWAY Marbella
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico squeezed past Marbella 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 36% / 30%) promised a tight game; La Union Atletico found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, La Union Atletico had 43% of the ball to Marbella's 57%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs Marbella?

La Union Atletico 1-0 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 34%, draw 36%, Marbella 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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