Union Adarve 1-2 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 32%
+19% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.89/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.82
+60% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Adarve
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Navalcarnero
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-1 HT 0-1 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
26.11.2023 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
26.02.2023 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
09.10.2022 Union Adarve Union Adarve 0-3 HT 0-1 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
13.02.2022 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
26.09.2021 Union Adarve Union Adarve 3-0 HT 2-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Adarve
1-2
AWAY Navalcarnero
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Adarve vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero nicked a narrow win over Union Adarve 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Navalcarnero found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Adarve had 40% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 60%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Adarve and 1.17 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of Union Adarve vs Navalcarnero?

Union Adarve 1-2 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Adarve vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Adarve win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Union Adarve 39%, draw 33%, Navalcarnero 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Adarve) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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