Union Adarve 1-1 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
2.01/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.81
+84% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Adarve
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Navalcarnero
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
26.02.2023 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
09.10.2022 Union Adarve Union Adarve 0-3 HT 0-1 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
13.02.2022 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
26.09.2021 Union Adarve Union Adarve 3-0 HT 2-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Adarve
1-1
AWAY Navalcarnero
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Adarve vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Adarve and Navalcarnero shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Union Adarve had 47% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 53%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Union Adarve and 1.20 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of Union Adarve vs Navalcarnero?

Union Adarve 1-1 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Adarve vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Adarve win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union Adarve 37%, draw 32%, Navalcarnero 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Adarve), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Adarve) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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