Ursaria 0-1 Atlético Paso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.6pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ursaria EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -16%
0.41/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.01
-65% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ursaria
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atlético Paso
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.11.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 2-0 HT 0-0 Ursaria Ursaria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ursaria
0-1
AWAY Atlético Paso
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ursaria vs Atlético Paso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlético Paso nicked a narrow win over Ursaria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ursaria at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Ursaria had 49% of the ball to Atlético Paso's 51%, shots finished 4-9.

What was the final score of Ursaria vs Atlético Paso?

Ursaria 0-1 Atlético Paso in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ursaria vs Atlético Paso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ursaria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ursaria 41%, draw 28%, Atlético Paso 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ursaria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ursaria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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