El Palo 3-1 Cadiz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Palo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz II EU Bookmakers 29%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +6%
0.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.13
-48% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Palo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cadiz II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
26.11.2023 Cadiz II Cadiz II 3-1 HT 1-1 El Palo El Palo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Palo
3-1
AWAY Cadiz II
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH El Palo vs Cadiz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Palo beat Cadiz II 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had El Palo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Palo had 62% of the ball to Cadiz II's 38%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of El Palo vs Cadiz II?

El Palo 3-1 Cadiz II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Palo vs Cadiz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Palo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split El Palo 42%, draw 26%, Cadiz II 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Palo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Palo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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