Cayon 3-2 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cayon EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.49/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+36% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cayon
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 2-0 HT 2-0 Cayon Cayon İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cayon
3-2
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cayon vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cayon squeezed past RC Deportivo Fabril 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Cayon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cayon had 51% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 49%, shots finished 14-3.

What was the final score of Cayon vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Cayon 3-2 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cayon vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cayon win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cayon 35%, draw 31%, RC Deportivo Fabril 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cayon), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cayon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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