Estepona 1-1 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.5pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.14/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.16
-18% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
1-1
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estepona vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona and Xerez Deportivo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Estepona at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Estepona had 57% of the ball to Xerez Deportivo's 43%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Estepona vs Xerez Deportivo?

Estepona 1-1 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Estepona 46%, draw 29%, Xerez Deportivo 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estepona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estepona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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