Talavera CF 1-0 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talavera CF
1-0
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF nicked a narrow win over Colonia Moscardo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Talavera CF as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Talavera CF had 66% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 34%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Colonia Moscardo?

Talavera CF 1-0 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 51%, draw 27%, Colonia Moscardo 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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