Union Sur Yaiza 2-1 Illescas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Sep 2024

Union Sur Yaiza
2-1 HT 2-0
Illescas
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Union Sur Yaiza vs Illescas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Sur Yaiza v Illescas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Illescas EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.7
POST-MATCH Union Sur Yaiza vs Illescas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Sur Yaiza edged past Illescas 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Sur Yaiza as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Union Sur Yaiza vs Illescas?

Union Sur Yaiza 2-1 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Sur Yaiza vs Illescas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Sur Yaiza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Union Sur Yaiza 44%, draw 26%, Illescas 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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