Xerez 2-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
2-1
AWAY UCAM Murcia
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Xerez vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez squeezed past UCAM Murcia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Xerez found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xerez had 46% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 54%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Xerez vs UCAM Murcia?

Xerez 2-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Xerez 39%, draw 31%, UCAM Murcia 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xerez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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