Palestino 1-1 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.23/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.09
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.4 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nublense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
264 Passes 308
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Nublense Nublense 0-2 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
12.11.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
29.04.2023 Palestino Palestino 1-2 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
11.09.2022 Nublense Nublense 2-0 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
10.04.2022 Palestino Palestino 1-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
05.12.2021 Palestino Palestino 1-4 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
1-1
AWAY Nublense
0.71 xG 0.93
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
164 Passes 284
62% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino and Nublense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Palestino at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Palestino had 41% of the ball to Nublense's 59%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.71 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nublense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Palestino and 1.67 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Nublense?

Palestino 1-1 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Palestino 43%, draw 26%, Nublense 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palestino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palestino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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