U. Catolica 2-2 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.32/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.72
+27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.3 Crosses 16.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportes Iquique
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 1.35
60% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
412 Passes 208
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-3 HT 1-2 U. Catolica ŞİL
27.06.2021 U. Catolica 4-4 HT 1-2 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİLİK
23.06.2021 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-1 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİLİK
08.01.2021 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-1 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
22.02.2020 U. Catolica 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
25.02.2019 U. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
2-2
AWAY Deportes Iquique
0.70 xG 1.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
275 Passes 188
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica and Deportes Iquique couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was U. Catolica at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 56% of the ball to Deportes Iquique's 44%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.70 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for U. Catolica and 1.50 for Deportes Iquique.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Deportes Iquique?

U. Catolica 2-2 Deportes Iquique in the Chile - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 46%, draw 27%, Deportes Iquique 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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