Babelsberg 2-1 VFC Plauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.4pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY VFC Plauen EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.60/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/2.91
-26% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY VFC Plauen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
21.04.2014 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-2 HT 1-2 VFC Plauen VFC Plauen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babelsberg
2-1
AWAY VFC Plauen
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs VFC Plauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babelsberg edged past VFC Plauen 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Babelsberg as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Babelsberg had 65% of the ball to VFC Plauen's 35%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs VFC Plauen?

Babelsberg 2-1 VFC Plauen in the Germany - Regional League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs VFC Plauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 59%, draw 18%, VFC Plauen 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babelsberg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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