Sportfreunde Lotte 3-2 Paderborn 07 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.77/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.95
+4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn 07 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte nicked a narrow win over Paderborn 07 II 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Sportfreunde Lotte made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn 07 II?

Sportfreunde Lotte 3-2 Paderborn 07 II in the Germany - Regional League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn 07 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 38%, draw 26%, Paderborn 07 II 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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