Teutonia Hamburg 3-1 Holstein Kiel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+1.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.3pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 54%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.45/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.76
+15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +55%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Holstein Kiel II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.02.2024 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
03.09.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 4-1 HT 2-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
08.02.2023 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 4-0 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
13.08.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 2-2 HT 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
20.02.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 3-0 HT 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
10.10.2021 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
3-1
AWAY Holstein Kiel II
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Teutonia Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teutonia Hamburg beat Holstein Kiel II 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Holstein Kiel II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Teutonia Hamburg had 40% of the ball to Holstein Kiel II's 60%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Teutonia Hamburg and 1.83 for Holstein Kiel II.

What was the final score of Teutonia Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel II?

Teutonia Hamburg 3-1 Holstein Kiel II in the Germany - Regional League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teutonia Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holstein Kiel II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Teutonia Hamburg 27%, draw 22%, Holstein Kiel II 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holstein Kiel II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstein Kiel II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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