Amazonas 1-1 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.85
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 34%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.08/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.34
-45% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
31.2 Crosses 18.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ceara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 1.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
459 Passes 274
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2024 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 2-0 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
1-1
AWAY Ceara
0.76 xG 1.61
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
233 Passes 404
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas and Ceara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Amazonas had 39% of the ball to Ceara's 61%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.76 to 1.61.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Ceara?

Amazonas 1-1 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 40%, draw 29%, Ceara 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Amazonas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amazonas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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1 Sep 2024
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