CRB 1-2 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 1 Sep 2024

CRB
1-2 HT 0-2
Avai
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
15%
7.36
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.6pp
32%
Draw
34%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.20/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.02
+15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
19.0 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Avai
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 1.04
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Avai Avai 2-1 HT 2-0 CRB CRB BR2
11.11.2023 Avai Avai 1-1 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
24.08.2023 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
26.09.2021 CRB CRB 1-2 HT 1-2 Avai Avai BR2
25.06.2021 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
30.12.2020 Avai Avai 0-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
1-2
AWAY Avai
2.30 xG 0.50
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
449 Passes 208
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 6
39 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CRB vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai edged past CRB 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Avai made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CRB had 67% of the ball to Avai's 33%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.30 to 0.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured CRB.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CRB and 1.17 for Avai.

What was the final score of CRB vs Avai?

CRB 1-2 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CRB 40%, draw 32%, Avai 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CRB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
1 Sep 2024
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