Avai vs CRB Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avai v CRB — Team-Based Signals
Avai vs CRB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
CRB
BR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Avai
BR2
1-2
HT 1-2
Avai
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
CRB
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
CRB
BR2
3-1
HT 1-0
Avai
BR2
Avai 2-1 CRB — Actual Match Statistics
Avai nicked a narrow win over CRB 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Avai found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Avai had 35% of the ball to CRB's 65%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.74 to 0.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avai and 1.17 for CRB.
What was the final score of Avai vs CRB?
Avai 2-1 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avai vs CRB?
Before kick-off our model rated an CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Avai 34%, draw 31%, CRB 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.