Vila Nova vs Novorizontino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Novorizontino — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Novorizontino Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Vila Nova
BR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Novorizontino
BR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Novorizontino
BR2
Vila Nova 2-1 Novorizontino — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova edged past Novorizontino 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vila Nova as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vila Nova had 54% of the ball to Novorizontino's 46%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.22 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vila Nova and 1.25 for Novorizontino.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?
Vila Nova 2-1 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 41%, draw 30%, Novorizontino 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.