Coritiba vs Guarani FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coritiba v Guarani FC — Team-Based Signals
Coritiba vs Guarani FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Guarani FC
BR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Coritiba
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Guarani FC
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Guarani FC
BR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Coritiba
BR2
Coritiba 1-0 Guarani FC — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba squeezed past Guarani FC 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Coritiba had 39% of the ball to Guarani FC's 61%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.31 to 0.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Coritiba and 0.67 for Guarani FC.
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Guarani FC?
Coritiba 1-0 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Guarani FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 50%, draw 30%, Guarani FC 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.