Botafogo SP 0-0 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 15 May 2024

Botafogo SP
0-0 HT 0-0
Chapecoense
📅15/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Botafogo SP vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.55
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.0pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo SP v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.01/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.29
-39% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.3 Crosses 14.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2

Botafogo SP vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.88 xG 1.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
248 Passes 354
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
24.08.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-2 HT 0-2 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
10.01.2021 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 3-0 HT 2-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
06.10.2020 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2

Botafogo SP 0-0 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
0-0
AWAY Chapecoense
2.07 xG 0.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
14 Corners 2
326 Passes 190
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Chapecoense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP and Chapecoense played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Botafogo SP at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 61% of the ball to Chapecoense's 39%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 2.07 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chapecoense led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botafogo SP and 1.25 for Chapecoense.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Chapecoense?

Botafogo SP 0-0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 45%, draw 28%, Chapecoense 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botafogo SP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo SP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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