Mokpo City 0-3 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
44%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.0pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.9pp
44%
Away Win
31%
+13.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.80/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.04
+42% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mokpo City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Changwon City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
05.05.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 3-0 HT 2-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
23.03.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GKOK
09.09.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 4-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
12.05.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
21.08.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
08.07.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-2 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Mokpo City vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City ran out comfortable winners over Mokpo City 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Changwon City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mokpo City and 1.50 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Mokpo City vs Changwon City?

Mokpo City 0-3 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mokpo City vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mokpo City 37%, draw 19%, Changwon City 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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