Oita Trinita 0-2 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 34% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.4pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -18%
0.97/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.46
-14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
416 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
3W-3D-0L
AWAY JEF United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
24.06.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
19.03.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
02.07.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 3-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
30.04.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-3 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
18.10.2015 JEF United JEF United 2-2 HT 0-2 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
0-2
AWAY JEF United
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
469 Passes 202
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United got the better of Oita Trinita 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 66% of the ball to JEF United's 34%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Oita Trinita and 1.17 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs JEF United?

Oita Trinita 0-2 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 28%, draw 31%, JEF United 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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