Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 Fujieda MYFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.04 — our 29% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.33/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.93
-24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.03.2024 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 2-1 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
10.09.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 HT 0-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
17.06.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-4 HT 0-4 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
03.10.2021 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 3-2 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP3
29.05.2021 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-1 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP3
14.11.2020 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-3 HT 1-1 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1-2
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 2
421 Passes 145
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Fujieda MYFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC nicked a narrow win over Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Roasso Kumamoto at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 69% of the ball to Fujieda MYFC's 31%, shots finished 24-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.50 for Fujieda MYFC.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Fujieda MYFC?

Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 Fujieda MYFC in the Japan - J2 League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Fujieda MYFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 48%, draw 25%, Fujieda MYFC 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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