Fujieda MYFC 2-1 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 26% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +14%
1.38/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.02
+14% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
459 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.09.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 HT 0-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
17.06.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-4 HT 0-4 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
03.10.2021 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 3-2 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP3
29.05.2021 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-1 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP3
14.11.2020 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-3 HT 1-1 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP3
19.09.2020 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 1-2 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
2-1
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC nicked a narrow win over Roasso Kumamoto 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Fujieda MYFC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 39% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 61%, shots finished 9-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 2.00 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Fujieda MYFC 2-1 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 35%, draw 26%, Roasso Kumamoto 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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