V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 24 Mar 2024

V-Varen Nagasaki
1-1 HT 0-1
Ventforet Kofu
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Ventforet Kofu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.65
6+ Goals
12%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Ventforet Kofu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.36/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.26
+4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Ventforet Kofu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
07.06.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JPK
12.04.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
02.07.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
05.03.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
23.10.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-1 HT 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 Ventforet Kofu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1-1
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki and Ventforet Kofu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 66% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 34%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.17 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Ventforet Kofu?

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 35%, draw 28%, Ventforet Kofu 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ventforet Kofu), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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