Tochigi SC 2-1 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.45
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.04/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.34
-7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
05.03.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
18.06.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
27.04.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
10.10.2015 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
14.06.2014 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 4-0 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
2-1
AWAY Oita Trinita
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC squeezed past Oita Trinita 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Oita Trinita at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 31% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 69%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tochigi SC and 0.67 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Oita Trinita?

Tochigi SC 2-1 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oita Trinita win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 31%, draw 26%, Oita Trinita 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oita Trinita) ✗ Under 2.5
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