Iwaki 0-0 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 33%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.11/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.24
-19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-3 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
11.06.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-0 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
0-0
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki and Montedio Yamagata played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Iwaki had 39% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 61%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Iwaki and 3.00 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?

Iwaki 0-0 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 37%, draw 26%, Montedio Yamagata 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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