Kagoshima United 0-4 Yokohama FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
18.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 30% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-7.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
2.31/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.02
+120% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Yokohama FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 3
24.08.2019 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 5-1 HT 3-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
0-4
AWAY Yokohama FC
28% Ball Possession 72%
3 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Yokohama FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama FC cruised past Kagoshima United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Yokohama FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 28% of the ball to Yokohama FC's 72%, shots finished 3-23.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Yokohama FC?

Kagoshima United 0-4 Yokohama FC in the Japan - J2 League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Yokohama FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 31%, draw 31%, Yokohama FC 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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