Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +24%
1.38/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.80
+5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +54%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
387 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Ehime FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.12.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
05.06.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
03.10.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
05.07.2020 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-3 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
14.09.2019 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 HT 2-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1-1
AWAY Ehime FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi and Ehime FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 52% of the ball to Ehime FC's 48%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.40 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime FC?

Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 40%, draw 27%, Ehime FC 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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