JEF United 1-1 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 13 Apr 2024

JEF United
1-1 HT 1-0
Oita Trinita
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Japan - J2 League – 2024

JEF United vs Oita Trinita Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JEF United v Oita Trinita — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.15/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.21
-24% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

JEF United vs Oita Trinita Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.06.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
19.03.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
02.07.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 3-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
30.04.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-3 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
18.10.2015 JEF United JEF United 2-2 HT 0-2 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
21.06.2015 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-1 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2

JEF United 1-1 Oita Trinita — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
1-1
AWAY Oita Trinita
48% Ball Possession 52%
23 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United and Oita Trinita shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, JEF United had 48% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 52%, shots finished 23-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for JEF United and 1.83 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Oita Trinita?

JEF United 1-1 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split JEF United 49%, draw 26%, Oita Trinita 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (JEF United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
13 Apr 2024
08:00 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →
08:00 Vegalta Sendai vs Montedio Yamagata Analysis →
08:00 Mito HollyHock vs Tochigi SC Analysis →
10:00 Ehime FC vs Kagoshima United Analysis →
10:00 Iwaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →