Vegalta Sendai 2-0 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.66
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
0.96/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.22
-28% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.07.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 4-1 HT 2-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
13.05.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
25.06.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
20.03.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-3 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
05.12.2018 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 3-2 HT 3-2 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JPK
26.09.2015 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-1 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2-0
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai beat Montedio Yamagata 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vegalta Sendai as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 40% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 60%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vegalta Sendai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 1.83 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Montedio Yamagata?

Vegalta Sendai 2-0 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 41%, draw 24%, Montedio Yamagata 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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