V-Varen Nagasaki 6-1 Tokushima Vortis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 13 Apr 2024

V-Varen Nagasaki
6-1 HT 2-0
Tokushima Vortis
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Tokushima Vortis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.96/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.22
+35% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
452 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 Passes 375
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 1-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
16.04.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-4 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
08.10.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
03.04.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
30.09.2020 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
08.08.2020 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 3-1 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2

V-Varen Nagasaki 6-1 Tokushima Vortis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
6-1
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki swept aside Tokushima Vortis 6-1. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had V-Varen Nagasaki as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 57% of the ball to Tokushima Vortis's 43%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.33 for Tokushima Vortis.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis?

V-Varen Nagasaki 6-1 Tokushima Vortis in the Japan - J2 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokushima Vortis?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 45%, draw 26%, Tokushima Vortis 29%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ BTTS Yes
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