Mito HollyHock 2-2 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.84
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 26%
-14% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.17/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.33
-22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Tochigi SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
462 Passes 231
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-2 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
13.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-2 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
16.10.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-3 HT 2-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
30.03.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
18.09.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
09.05.2021 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
2-2
AWAY Tochigi SC
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock and Tochigi SC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mito HollyHock at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 55% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 45%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.33 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Tochigi SC?

Mito HollyHock 2-2 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J2 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 44%, draw 26%, Tochigi SC 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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