Iwaki 2-3 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.81
6+ Goals
13%
16.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.81 — our 26% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
1.06/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.40
-5% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
339 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.10.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-7 HT 1-3 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
07.05.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 9-1 HT 3-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
12.07.2017 Iwaki Iwaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
2-3
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse nicked a narrow win over Iwaki 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Iwaki had 52% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 48%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Iwaki and 6.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Iwaki 2-3 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J2 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 30%, draw 28%, Shimizu S-Pulse 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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