Avispa Fukuoka 0-2 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.33
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.51
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
8%
16.55
X/1
9%
8.44
X/2
16%
3.86
X/X
15%
3.82
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.53
2/X
5%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 55%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +9%
0.98/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.10
-15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.4 Crosses 23.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 0.95
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
233 Passes 312
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.05.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.06.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
18.02.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
01.10.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
10.08.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JLK
03.08.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-2 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
0-2
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.91 xG 1.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
233 Passes 319
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe saw off Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 43% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 57%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.91 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.17 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe?

Avispa Fukuoka 0-2 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 26%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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