Consadole Sapporo 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.53
2-3 Goals
41%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.92
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.75
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
7%
7.9
X/2
13%
4.84
X/X
11%
5.95
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
24%
2.5
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.75 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 52%
-16% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.22/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.05
-13% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
18.2 Crosses 15.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.50 xG 2.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 419
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 HT 3-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
26.08.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 HT 0-2 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
01.04.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 3-4 HT 2-3 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
15.11.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 3-3 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale Dünya - J Lig Asya Challenge
01.10.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 4-3 HT 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
18.06.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 5-2 HT 1-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
2-0
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.66 xG 1.15
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
226 Passes 390
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo got the better of Kawasaki Frontale 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 40% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 60%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.66 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 3.33 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Consadole Sapporo 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 32%, draw 21%, Kawasaki Frontale 46%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
1 Sep 2024
13:00 Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →