Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.08
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
13%
4.16
X/2
8%
9.95
X/X
8%
6.12
2/1
10%
20.4
2/2
7%
6.87
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.9
Value flag · 2/X at 14.9 — our 11% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +18%
1.82/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.66
+31% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
487 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.7 Crosses 15.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.99 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
400 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 HT 0-2 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
01.04.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 3-4 HT 2-3 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
15.11.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 3-3 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale Dünya - J Lig Asya Challenge
01.10.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 4-3 HT 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
18.06.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 5-2 HT 1-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
28.08.2021 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-2 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3-0
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale ran out comfortable winners over Consadole Sapporo 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 51% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 49%, shots finished 15-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 2.33 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Consadole Sapporo?

Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 53%, draw 26%, Consadole Sapporo 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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