Cerezo Osaka 1-4 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.63
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
10%
14.65
X/1
13%
7.04
X/2
16%
4.3
X/X
12%
4.21
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.83
2/X
5%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.15/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.12
+41% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +24%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.5 Crosses 19.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.00 xG 1.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 397
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
10.06.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
06.08.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 3-0 HT 2-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
10.04.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
17.07.2021 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
15.05.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
1-4
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.56 xG 2.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
347 Passes 270
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 40
23 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe ran out comfortable winners over Cerezo Osaka 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Vissel Kobe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 54% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 46%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.56 to 2.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 0.67 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Vissel Kobe?

Cerezo Osaka 1-4 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 34%, draw 27%, Vissel Kobe 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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