Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jubilo Iwata v Sagan Tosu — Team-Based Signals
Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Jubilo Iwata
JLK
1-2
HT 0-1
Sagan Tosu
JLK
2-0
HT 1-0
Jubilo Iwata
JAP
3-1
HT 3-0
Sagan Tosu
JAP
2-2
HT 1-1
Sagan Tosu
JAP
1-0
HT 0-0
Jubilo Iwata
JAP
Jubilo Iwata 0-3 Sagan Tosu — Actual Match Statistics
Sagan Tosu ran out comfortable winners over Jubilo Iwata 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Jubilo Iwata at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 50% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 50%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.44 to 1.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagan Tosu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.33 for Sagan Tosu.
What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
Jubilo Iwata 0-3 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J1 League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 46%, draw 30%, Sagan Tosu 24%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.