Santos de Guapiles 3-4 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
20%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
55%
Away Win
54%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 57%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.09/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.88
-6% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CS Herediano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-4 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
22.02.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
23.11.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 3-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
17.09.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-1 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
10.04.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 2-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
08.02.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano edged past Santos de Guapiles 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 2.17 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs CS Herediano?

Santos de Guapiles 3-4 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 24%, draw 22%, CS Herediano 55%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
1 Sep 2024
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