Santos de Guapiles 0-4 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.33/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.16
+13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
217 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
23.11.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 3-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
17.09.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-1 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
10.04.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 2-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
08.02.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
21.08.2022 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-2 HT 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano ran out comfortable winners over Santos de Guapiles 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 1.83 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs CS Herediano?

Santos de Guapiles 0-4 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 28%, draw 27%, CS Herediano 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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