Grecia 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-12.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grecia EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 69%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.18/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.74
+11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +39%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grecia
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.02.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 1-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
24.11.2023 Grecia Grecia 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
16.09.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 7-0 HT 2-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
07.05.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 5-1 HT 1-1 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
05.03.2023 Grecia Grecia 0-4 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
01.09.2022 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 2-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grecia
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grecia vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa squeezed past Grecia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Grecia had 28% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 72%, shots finished 5-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Grecia and 3.83 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Grecia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Grecia 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grecia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Grecia 23%, draw 25%, Deportivo Saprissa 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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