Perez Zeledon 0-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+11.4pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-15.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.09/2.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.04
+1% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perez Zeledon
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-2 HT 3-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
19.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
14.08.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-2 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
09.04.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-3 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
09.02.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-1 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
22.09.2022 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
POST-MATCH Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense squeezed past Perez Zeledon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Perez Zeledon and 2.17 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense?

Perez Zeledon 0-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Perez Zeledon 25%, draw 24%, Alajuelense 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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