CS Cartagines 3-1 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.08/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.01
-18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Cartagines
3W-2D-1L
AWAY San Carlos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 2-0 HT 0-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
19.10.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 4-3 HT 2-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
12.08.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
03.04.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-4 HT 1-1 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
05.02.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-0 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
04.09.2022 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 3-2 HT 2-2 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Cartagines
3-1
AWAY San Carlos
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CS Cartagines vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Cartagines saw off San Carlos 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Carlos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CS Cartagines had 39% of the ball to San Carlos's 61%, shots finished 12-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Cartagines had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CS Cartagines and 1.67 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of CS Cartagines vs San Carlos?

CS Cartagines 3-1 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Cartagines vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CS Cartagines 33%, draw 24%, San Carlos 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (San Carlos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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