Deportivo Ocotal 1-3 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.82
No
61%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.6pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.30/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.29
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
29.04.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
26.11.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 0-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
22.09.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
20.04.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
26.02.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
27.11.2022 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-1 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti got the better of Deportivo Ocotal 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Ocotal at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walter Ferretti led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 1.17 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs Walter Ferretti?

Deportivo Ocotal 1-3 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Ocotal win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 48%, draw 23%, Walter Ferretti 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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