Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Matagalpa v Export Sebaco — Team-Based Signals
Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Export Sebaco
NİK
2-2
HT 0-1
Matagalpa
NİK
0-0
HT 0-0
Export Sebaco
NİK
0-3
HT 0-1
Matagalpa
NİK
2-1
HT 0-1
Matagalpa
NİK
Matagalpa and Export Sebaco shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Matagalpa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Matagalpa and 0.83 for Export Sebaco.
What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco?
Matagalpa 1-1 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 44%, draw 33%, Export Sebaco 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Matagalpa), Over 2.5 went the other way.