Club Guarani 1-0 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
0.82/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.88
-22% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
02.03.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
02.12.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-0 HT 3-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
18.09.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
25.04.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-3 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
12.02.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
1-0
AWAY Cerro Porteno
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani nicked a narrow win over Cerro Porteno 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Club Guarani had 39% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 61%, shots finished 4-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Club Guarani and 1.83 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Cerro Porteno?

Club Guarani 1-0 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 27%, draw 26%, Cerro Porteno 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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